Blog Post 3.6 "Polling in Nevada"

1. The universe is the people of Nevada.
2. 20.2% - 29.8%
3. Biden could be ahead of Sanders.
4. Earlier polls showed Biden in the lead with 19 percent support, Sanders with 18 percent, and their nearest competitor - Warren - 8 percentage points behind.
5. After the 2004 election, the state switched from holding primaries to caucuses and was pushed much earlier on the primary calendar as a part of an effort to make the primary system more inclusive of the Democratic Party's demographic make-up.
6. It is hard to talk to people because the state has a disproportionate amount of people who work odd hours, and a relatively transient population.
7. The Iowa caucuses are a well-established tradition dating back to the 1970s, but Nevada's caucuses are relatively low.
8. The state has a newly instituted four-day early voting period.
9. Nevada relies heavily on tourism and the casino industries so its population can wax and wane seasonally.
10. The need for pollsters to have staff conducting field work over a 24-hour period rather than in evenings like in other states, as well as the costs involved in keeping up-to-date phone records and developing new models, means polling in Nevada is substantially more expensive to produce than in other states.