1. He was the South Bend, Indiana mayor.
2. March 2019 was the highpoint of his campaign.
3. He was big on Medicare-for-all at the beginning.
4. He lost traction with voters on the ideological left and black people.
5. He failed to appeal to black voters, and he took on a super wealthy donor.
6. She was a Minnesota senator.
7. Her high point in her campaign was at the beginning of 2020.
8. She was pretty moderate and a very effective lawmaker.
9. Super bad. Sixth place in both Nevada and South Carolina.
10. Her policy proposals centered on antitrust and consumer protection and more transparency around online advertising and data privacy.
Sunday, March 8, 2020
Wednesday, February 19, 2020
Blog Post 3.6 "Polling in Nevada"
1. The universe is the people of Nevada.
2. 20.2% - 29.8%
3. Biden could be ahead of Sanders.
4. Earlier polls showed Biden in the lead with 19 percent support, Sanders with 18 percent, and their nearest competitor - Warren - 8 percentage points behind.
5. After the 2004 election, the state switched from holding primaries to caucuses and was pushed much earlier on the primary calendar as a part of an effort to make the primary system more inclusive of the Democratic Party's demographic make-up.
6. It is hard to talk to people because the state has a disproportionate amount of people who work odd hours, and a relatively transient population.
7. The Iowa caucuses are a well-established tradition dating back to the 1970s, but Nevada's caucuses are relatively low.
8. The state has a newly instituted four-day early voting period.
9. Nevada relies heavily on tourism and the casino industries so its population can wax and wane seasonally.
10. The need for pollsters to have staff conducting field work over a 24-hour period rather than in evenings like in other states, as well as the costs involved in keeping up-to-date phone records and developing new models, means polling in Nevada is substantially more expensive to produce than in other states.
2. 20.2% - 29.8%
3. Biden could be ahead of Sanders.
4. Earlier polls showed Biden in the lead with 19 percent support, Sanders with 18 percent, and their nearest competitor - Warren - 8 percentage points behind.
5. After the 2004 election, the state switched from holding primaries to caucuses and was pushed much earlier on the primary calendar as a part of an effort to make the primary system more inclusive of the Democratic Party's demographic make-up.
6. It is hard to talk to people because the state has a disproportionate amount of people who work odd hours, and a relatively transient population.
7. The Iowa caucuses are a well-established tradition dating back to the 1970s, but Nevada's caucuses are relatively low.
8. The state has a newly instituted four-day early voting period.
9. Nevada relies heavily on tourism and the casino industries so its population can wax and wane seasonally.
10. The need for pollsters to have staff conducting field work over a 24-hour period rather than in evenings like in other states, as well as the costs involved in keeping up-to-date phone records and developing new models, means polling in Nevada is substantially more expensive to produce than in other states.
Thursday, February 13, 2020
Blog Post 3.5 "Civil Servants"
1. Vindman is a top Ukraine expert on the National Security Council.
2. Vindman said it was "improper for the president of the United States to demand a foreign government investigate a US citizen and political opponent."
3. Vindman was removed from his post, and his brother was reassigned.
4. WH is saying that they are shrinking the NSC staff.
5. Civil servants will be even more fearful to speak out or testify against the president if he acts inappropriately again.
6. He was the ambassador to the European Union.
7. Sondland testified that there was quid pro quo.
8. He was a major Trump donor.
9. George Kent and Laura Cooper are next on the hit list.
2. Vindman said it was "improper for the president of the United States to demand a foreign government investigate a US citizen and political opponent."
3. Vindman was removed from his post, and his brother was reassigned.
4. WH is saying that they are shrinking the NSC staff.
5. Civil servants will be even more fearful to speak out or testify against the president if he acts inappropriately again.
6. He was the ambassador to the European Union.
7. Sondland testified that there was quid pro quo.
8. He was a major Trump donor.
9. George Kent and Laura Cooper are next on the hit list.
Wednesday, February 5, 2020
Blog Post 3.4 "IT'S PRIMARY SEASON"
1. Phase 1 is in February and Phase 2 is in March.
2. Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina
3. The primaries can solidify a frontrunner's position, give an underdog a surge of attention, or drive poorly performing contenders out of the race, and they often effectively settle who the true top two or three candidates are.
4. There are 1344 delegates.
5. California, Texas, the South, New England, the West, and the Midwest and American Samoa.
6. 7 on March 10 and 4 on March 17.
7. California moved from an early June primary late in the process up to Super Tuesday.
8. The third phase is slow-going and will feature either a few small contests or one small- or medium-sized contest.
9. One argument in favor of letting Iowa and New Hampshire go first is that it lets lesser-known candidates make their case in a smaller, more manageable setting.
10. Democrats allot all delegates proportionally, with no winner-take-all contests permitted.
2. Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina
3. The primaries can solidify a frontrunner's position, give an underdog a surge of attention, or drive poorly performing contenders out of the race, and they often effectively settle who the true top two or three candidates are.
4. There are 1344 delegates.
5. California, Texas, the South, New England, the West, and the Midwest and American Samoa.
6. 7 on March 10 and 4 on March 17.
7. California moved from an early June primary late in the process up to Super Tuesday.
8. The third phase is slow-going and will feature either a few small contests or one small- or medium-sized contest.
9. One argument in favor of letting Iowa and New Hampshire go first is that it lets lesser-known candidates make their case in a smaller, more manageable setting.
10. Democrats allot all delegates proportionally, with no winner-take-all contests permitted.
Friday, January 31, 2020
Blog Post 3.3 "Impeachment & The Public"
1. All seven have more in favor of removal than opposing it.
2. FiveThirtyEight found the most support for removing him and Mon mouth had the most opposition for removing him.
3. 83.9% of Democrats support removal while only 8.4% Republicans support.
4. More people support the House impeaching Trump than they support actually removing Trump from office.
5. They think Mike Pence would be a better president.
6. The voters tend to be a bit more Republican than all American adults.
7. 89% of men said a woman cold get elected while 9% disagreed, but women were, at 79% to 20%.
8. White voters without a college degree caused the issues.
9. 69% of Americans do not want Roe v. Wade to be overturned.
2. FiveThirtyEight found the most support for removing him and Mon mouth had the most opposition for removing him.
3. 83.9% of Democrats support removal while only 8.4% Republicans support.
4. More people support the House impeaching Trump than they support actually removing Trump from office.
5. They think Mike Pence would be a better president.
6. The voters tend to be a bit more Republican than all American adults.
7. 89% of men said a woman cold get elected while 9% disagreed, but women were, at 79% to 20%.
8. White voters without a college degree caused the issues.
9. 69% of Americans do not want Roe v. Wade to be overturned.
Thursday, January 23, 2020
Blog Post 3.2 "SCOTUS 2020"
1. Both the Trinity Luthern and Espinoza involve state constitutional provisions that prohibited those states from spending money to "aid" churches and other religious institutions.
2. It would prohibit basic things such as police protection or fire protection: if a church caught on fire, the fire department would have to just let it burn baby.
3. The plaintiff argues that the ban forces students to "choose between attending a school that accords with her beliefs or receiving thousands of dollars in government benefits."
4. The US government spends an average of $11, 392 per year on each public school student.
5. Chief Justice Roberts said, "Denying a generally available benefit solely on account of religious identity imposes a penalty on the free exercise of religion that can be justified only by a state interest 'of the highest order.'"
6. The super-conservative Supreme Court is probably going to expand the rights of the religious conservatives.
7. The heart of both of the Pennsylvania cases is whether the Trump administration acted properly when it wrote a sweeping exemption into regulations requiring employers to include birth control coverage in employee health plans.
8. "when followers of a particular sect enter into commercial activity as a matter of choice, the limits they accept on their own conduct as a matter of conscience and faith are not to be superimposed on the statutory schemes which are binding on others in that activity."
9. Trump administration gave religious objectors a broad exemption from the requirement to provide birth control coverage. It gives anyone with a moral or religious opposition the option to just not provide coverage for birth control.
10. Trump's additions are all conservative and religious, so of course, they will side with the religious folks because women are beneath men in every single way possible and birth control is a luxury to women, like mints but worse because it prevents the precious baby from blossoming. You know, the baby that the woman probably doesn't want in the first place but hey it isn't her body so why does she get an opinion haha.
2. It would prohibit basic things such as police protection or fire protection: if a church caught on fire, the fire department would have to just let it burn baby.
3. The plaintiff argues that the ban forces students to "choose between attending a school that accords with her beliefs or receiving thousands of dollars in government benefits."
4. The US government spends an average of $11, 392 per year on each public school student.
5. Chief Justice Roberts said, "Denying a generally available benefit solely on account of religious identity imposes a penalty on the free exercise of religion that can be justified only by a state interest 'of the highest order.'"
6. The super-conservative Supreme Court is probably going to expand the rights of the religious conservatives.
7. The heart of both of the Pennsylvania cases is whether the Trump administration acted properly when it wrote a sweeping exemption into regulations requiring employers to include birth control coverage in employee health plans.
8. "when followers of a particular sect enter into commercial activity as a matter of choice, the limits they accept on their own conduct as a matter of conscience and faith are not to be superimposed on the statutory schemes which are binding on others in that activity."
9. Trump administration gave religious objectors a broad exemption from the requirement to provide birth control coverage. It gives anyone with a moral or religious opposition the option to just not provide coverage for birth control.
10. Trump's additions are all conservative and religious, so of course, they will side with the religious folks because women are beneath men in every single way possible and birth control is a luxury to women, like mints but worse because it prevents the precious baby from blossoming. You know, the baby that the woman probably doesn't want in the first place but hey it isn't her body so why does she get an opinion haha.
Wednesday, January 8, 2020
Blog Post 3.1 "Tensions with Iran"
1. He used to lead Iranian covert operations and intelligence, and he was one of the country's most revered military leaders.
2. The Pentagon justified this by saying that General Soleimani was actively developing plans to attack American diplomats and service members in Iraq and throughout the region, and General Soleimani and his Quds Force were responsible for the deaths of hundreds of American and coalition service members and the wounding of thousands more.
3. Iran's leaders have promised "revenge."
4. President Trump is threatening to attack multiple Iranian sites if they strike any American people or assets. Of course, all of this was said via Twitter.
5. Trump stated in his tweet that he wants to target Iranian cultural sites, and doing so is a war crime.
6. The Iranian people have all banded together, despite political differences, in order to mourn the death of Gen. Soleimani who they deem a hero, and tens of thousands of mourners filled the streets of Ahvaz and Mashhad Sunday where Soleimani's remains were transported for public processions.
7. The leaders of Iraq want US troops to leave the country over concerns the US violated Iraqi sovereignty in its assassination, and this move could completely alter the US-Iraq relationship and fundamentally change the fight against ISIS.
8. Sanctions against Iran would be eased in exchange for compliance with nuclear restrictions.
9. President Trump withdrew from the deal and imposed harsh sanctions.
10. Iran's nuclear program will have no limitations in production including enrichment capacity and percentage and number of enriched uranium and research and expansion.
11. Iran will still allow the International Atomic Energy Agency to review its nuclear research.
2. The Pentagon justified this by saying that General Soleimani was actively developing plans to attack American diplomats and service members in Iraq and throughout the region, and General Soleimani and his Quds Force were responsible for the deaths of hundreds of American and coalition service members and the wounding of thousands more.
3. Iran's leaders have promised "revenge."
4. President Trump is threatening to attack multiple Iranian sites if they strike any American people or assets. Of course, all of this was said via Twitter.
5. Trump stated in his tweet that he wants to target Iranian cultural sites, and doing so is a war crime.
6. The Iranian people have all banded together, despite political differences, in order to mourn the death of Gen. Soleimani who they deem a hero, and tens of thousands of mourners filled the streets of Ahvaz and Mashhad Sunday where Soleimani's remains were transported for public processions.
7. The leaders of Iraq want US troops to leave the country over concerns the US violated Iraqi sovereignty in its assassination, and this move could completely alter the US-Iraq relationship and fundamentally change the fight against ISIS.
8. Sanctions against Iran would be eased in exchange for compliance with nuclear restrictions.
9. President Trump withdrew from the deal and imposed harsh sanctions.
10. Iran's nuclear program will have no limitations in production including enrichment capacity and percentage and number of enriched uranium and research and expansion.
11. Iran will still allow the International Atomic Energy Agency to review its nuclear research.